Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.020362 0.021864 0.023427 0.025177 0.027083 0.029099 0.031394
2024-10-06 0.017663 0.019799 0.022137 0.024893 0.028063 0.031606 0.035882
2024-10-13 0.015831 0.018322 0.021153 0.024625 0.028788 0.033648 0.039788
2024-10-20 0.014305 0.016977 0.020106 0.024067 0.028980 0.034922 0.042721
2024-10-27 0.013472 0.016345 0.019799 0.024294 0.030043 0.037222 0.046979
2024-11-03 0.012684 0.015684 0.019375 0.024297 0.030763 0.039070 0.050722
2024-11-10 0.012139 0.015275 0.019215 0.024589 0.031829 0.041385 0.055192
2024-11-17 0.011430 0.014602 0.018658 0.024303 0.032076 0.042582 0.058170
2024-11-24 0.010873 0.014087 0.018269 0.024197 0.032532 0.044056 0.061598
2024-12-01 0.010293 0.013506 0.017750 0.023870 0.032639 0.045019 0.064314
2024-12-08 0.009902 0.013155 0.017519 0.023918 0.033262 0.046731 0.068233
2024-12-15 0.009423 0.012658 0.017056 0.023602 0.033325 0.047607 0.070906
2024-12-22 0.008917 0.012104 0.016492 0.023116 0.033115 0.048071 0.072987
2024-12-29 0.008529 0.011698 0.016118 0.022886 0.033271 0.049093 0.076022
2025-01-05 0.008168 0.011314 0.015755 0.022649 0.033394 0.050056 0.079009
2025-01-12 0.007757 0.010838 0.015235 0.022145 0.033066 0.050272 0.080736
2025-01-19 0.007572 0.010687 0.015185 0.022351 0.033862 0.052334 0.085760
2025-01-26 0.007345 0.010461 0.015011 0.022353 0.034325 0.053865 0.089950
2025-02-02 0.007201 0.010351 0.015006 0.022619 0.035224 0.056169 0.095688
2025-02-09 0.006933 0.010044 0.014685 0.022360 0.035234 0.056949 0.098674
2025-02-16 0.006720 0.009813 0.014472 0.022263 0.035508 0.058195 0.102612
2025-02-23 0.006473 0.009518 0.014148 0.021967 0.035422 0.058793 0.105341
2025-03-02 0.006317 0.009361 0.014032 0.022010 0.035921 0.060462 0.110276